Forex martingale qui fonctionne
It is perhaps due to the fact that the Martingale approach to trading is based on probabilities and chance than anything else. I have been trading the forex market since June and in all that time, I have only seen one recovery system that I would put my money with.
Trading Application of Martingale Strategy
The idea behind the system is very simple. In theory, it all seems to be a funny and a profitable game. However, a casino puts a limit on the maximum bet. No one casino will allow you placing such a big bet. I doubt if you take so much money with yourself. But forex broker allow placing such a big bet.
Truly speaking, the system can be very easily applied to the Forex market. Suppose that the price moves in some way. The price continues to move with the trend and goes still higher. If the price decides to reverse after all, we shall be able to close all our positions and break even or even get some profit:.
So, martingale creates an illusion that you can avoid making losing trades. But the problem is that a large lot size results in a huge risk. If we ride a long-sustained trend, we can lose our entire deposit. The currency may eventually turn, but the downside to the martingale strategy is that you may not have enough money to keep you in the market long enough to see that end.
One of the reasons the martingale strategy is so popular in the currency market is because, unlike stocks, currencies rarely drop to zero.
Although companies easily can go bankrupt, countries cannot. There will be times when a currency is devalued, but even in cases of a sharp decline , the currency's value never reaches zero. It's not impossible that a currency could reach zero, but what it would take for this to happen would be an global economic nightmare. The FX market also offers one unique advantage that makes it more attractive for traders who have the capital to follow the martingale strategy: This means that an astute martingale trader may want to only trade the strategy on currency pairs in the direction of positive carry.
In other words, they would buy a currency with a high interest rate and earn that interest while, at the same time, selling a currency with a low interest rate. With a large number of lots, interest income can be very substantial and could work to reduce your average entry price.
A great deal of caution is needed for those who attempt to practice the martingale strategy, as attractive as it may sound to some traders. The main problem with this strategy is that seemingly sure-fire trades may blow up your account before you can turn a profit or even recoup your losses. In the end, traders must question whether they are willing to lose most of their account equity on a single trade.
Given that they must do this to average much smaller profits, many feel that the martingale trading strategy offers more risk than reward.
On peut prendre beaucoup plus que 3 positions. Un autre problème c'est le spread, pour que les positions long et short se coupent en même temps je baisse le TP à 29 pips avec le SL toujours a 30 pips. Dans ce cas il faut faire attention au appels de marge ou avoir un bon capital.
La stratégie fonctionnerai si nous arrivions à déterminer ces périodes de range très dangereuse, si vous y arrivez, dites le moi, je suis preneur. J'ai peu être une idée. Peut être qu'en utilisant les zones supérieures ou inférieures à du CCI on pourrais en tirer quelque chose. Oui le principal risque c'est l'appel de marge. J'ai un ami qui programme la stratégie aussi, on devrai arriver à quelque chose d'intéressant tous ensemble. Mais ne vaut il pas mieux utiliser la stratégie de Dow?
Je pense qu'il vaut mieux encaisser les pertes, au moins, on est sure des risques. Pour cette stratégie, le risque est en fonction du lot qui grossi: Si vous avez des idées, je suis preneur. Pour aller un peu plus dans le détail de la stratégie, il faut savoir que la probabilité de range diminue si vous augmentez l'écart entre les deux bornes.
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